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印媒:莫迪政府2024年5万亿美元GDP的目标看起来太过雄心勃勃了

'Modi govt's USD 5-trillion GDP target by 2024 looks unimaginably ambitious'

莫迪政府2024年5万亿美元GDP的目标看起来太过雄心勃勃了。”

NEW DELHI: India would need to grow at 9 per cent to achieve the target of USD 5 trillion economy by 2024, which currently looks "unimaginably ambitious", eminent economist R Nagaraj said on Sunday. Soon after assuming office for the second term in May 2019, the Narendra Modi-led government set a target of taking the economy to USD 5 trillion over the next five years.

新德里:著名经济学家R Nagaraj周日表示,印度需要以9%的速度增长,才能在2024年之前实现5万亿美元的经济目标,目前看来这是“难以完成的痴人梦话”。纳伦德拉·莫迪领导的政府在2019年5月开始第二任期后不久就设定了这一目标,要在未来五年内将经济规模扩大到5万亿美元。

But there have been several clouds over the economy since then, leading many to question the maintainability of the target.

但自那以来,印度经济一直阴云密布,导致许多人质疑这一目标是否还能达成。

India's GDP is currently estimated at around USD 2.8 trillion.

印度目前的GDP估计在2.8万亿美元左右。

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"The target appears exceptionally daunting, if not impossible, going by the record of the current decade. Last July, as per my estimate, India needed to grow on average at 9 per cent per year in real terms from the fiscal year 2020 to 2024 to achieve the target of 5 trillion dollar economy.

“就当前十年的记录来看,这一目标就算不是完全无法实现,也是格外艰巨。去年7月,据我估计,从2020年到2024年,印度需要以年均9%的实际增长率,才能实现5万亿美元的经济增长目标。”

"With the growth rate slumping, the goal looks unimaginably ambitious," Nagaraj, a professor of economics at the Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research (IGIDR), told .

“随着经济增长率的下滑,这个目标看起来过于激进了,”英迪拉·甘地发展研究所的经济学教授Nagaraj说。

India's GDP growth is seen dipping to an 11-year low of 5 per cent in the current fiscal, mainly due to poor showing by manufacturing and construction sectors, as per government data.

根据政府数据,印度当前财政年度的GDP增长率预计将降至5%,为11年低点,主要原因是制造业和建筑业的表现不佳。

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in the first quarter of 2019-20 was 5 per cent, which further slipped to 4.5 per cent in the subsequent three-month period.

2019- 2020年第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)增长5%,在随后的3个月期间进一步下滑至4.5%。

Talking about rising trade tensions, he said the prospects of a reversal in declining trends look very unlikely.

谈到不断加剧的贸易紧张局势,他说,扭转下降趋势的可能性非常小。

"India's exports to GDP ratio has steadily declined since the early 2010s. So, I don't see any signs of reversal of the declining trends," he said.

“自2010年代初以来,印度出口占GDP的比例一直在稳步下降。因此,我没有看到任何逆转下降趋势的迹象。”

Asked whether a fiscal stimulus is the only way out of the slowdown, Nagaraj said that lowering of interest rates over the last few years has not helped and there is a need for fiscal stimulus.

在被问及财政刺激是否是摆脱经济放缓的唯一途径时,Nagaraj表示,过去几年的降息没有起到帮助作用,有必要实施财政刺激。

On the upcoming Budget for 2020-21, he said, "I hope the Budget targets a high and rising investment to GDP ratio for the next 3-4 years with credible budgetary figures, and with a bright, implementable strategy in place."

在即将公布的2020-21年预算中,他表示:“我希望预算目标是在未来3-4年内,在可靠的预算数字和明智的、可实施的战略的支持下,实现投资占GDP的比例不断上升的高目标。”

以下是《印度经济时报》网站读者评论:

译文来源:三泰虎      http://www.santaihu.com/49179.html     译者:Joyceliu

Sanujit Roy

All need to pull up socks

所有人都需要勒紧裤腰带了。

 

Ranjan Kar

NaMo has perfected the art of telling an untruth so convincingly that the cattles start believing it totally and vote for him. That is the pity for this country

莫迪完美地掌握了说谎的艺术,他说的假话如此令人信服,连牛都开始完全相信了,还把票投给了他。这真是这个国家的遗憾呐。

 

Kannan V M

What is there to utter something? So many tall claims were made in 2013, like bringing down the petrol price and the exchange rate per dollar to below Rs.45/- within 3 months of coming to power. What has happened subsequently every citizen knows.This too is like that only. This is the need of the hour because the common man is reeling under the burden of soaring prices, job loss and unemployment.

有什么好说的?2013年他可是发表了很多高论,比如在上台后3个月内将汽油价格和美元兑卢比汇率降至45卢比以下。后来怎么样了,每个公民都知道。GDP这个口号也是一样。这是当下的需要,因为普通民众在物价飙升、失业和失业的重压下步履蹒跚。

 

Dilip Porwal

Modi hai to mumkin hai!

莫迪万岁!

 

Vikas Baliyan

AGREE

同意

 

Shantanu

Nobody literate believes this target anyway. It's just another Modi-Shah jumla to divert attention from all the real issues this regime has failed in.

没人真的相信这个目标。这不过是莫迪用来转移人们对这个政权失败的真正问题的注意力。

 

P D

Too pessimist. Modi alone is not driving the economy. An ambition to achieve to be welcome. Please be optimistic.

太悲观了。莫迪一个人并不能推动经济发展。但这是一种受到民众欢迎的愿景。请保持乐观。

 

Shantanu

Optimistic? With this gutter regime of illiterates, liars, goons and pseudo-nationals?

乐观?在这个由文盲、骗子、打手和伪君子组成的肮脏政权领导之下?

 

Gurudath Sathyavan

'Unimaginably Ambitious' ?? Why this play of words.

“难以完成的痴人梦话”? ? 为什么要玩这种文字游戏。

 

Chander Mohan Kohli

The Target of USD 5-trillion GDP by 2024 is achievable but Modi Govt has to bring stringent Economic Reforms in the areas of Agriculture. India has to be made Super Poer in Manufacturing, Foreign Trade, Land Procurement at a Faster pace and at economical Rates for Infrastructural /Industrial Mega Projects, Corrupt & Non- Performing bureaucracy? Problems are numerous. People of India look forward to Sh.Modi that he shall give his maximum Time & Energy to uplift the Economy.

到2024年实现5万亿美元国内生产总值的目标是有可能的,但是莫迪政府必须在农业领域进行严格的经济改革。印度必须在制造业、外贸、土地采购、基础设施/工业大型项目、腐败和低效的官僚体制等方面,以更快的速度和更经济的速度成为超级势力。印度还有很多的问题。印度人民期待莫迪拿出最大的时间和精力来振兴经济。

 

Caba San Viejo

Modi who is a School- Drop - out don't have Academic Knowledge to achieve anything for India. Such illiterates like Modi, Criminals like Shah had black- mailed Ambedkar to permit them entry in Parliament while writing Constitution. So, Illiterates & Criminals are contesting Election and ruining Indian Economy.

辍学的莫迪没有学术知识,无法为印度取得任何成就。像莫迪这样的文盲,像沙阿这样的罪犯,给安贝德卡发了勒索信,让他们进入议会,起草宪法。所以,文盲和罪犯在参加竞选,破坏印度经济。

 

Shadi Katyal

For decades we have been reding why India was not moving forward but when Modi came people had hopes. Modi destroyed the nation with Note Bundi and now too busy destroying the nation with not essential Laws but showing fascist policies. The nation has lost its luster both as a democracy and a peaceful nation. The world has lost any hope of India developing but being lost in anarchy Nation cvannot develope without Law and Orderl

几十年来我们一直在提意见,为什么印度没有向前发展,当莫迪出现时,人们一度拥有了希望。莫迪用纸币摧毁了这个国家,现在正忙着用法西斯政策而不是基本法律摧毁这个国家。这个国家已经失去了与和平的光辉。世界已经失去了对印度发展的希望,印度正陷入无政府状态,没有法律和秩序的国家无法发展。

 

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